What happens after the first deposit?
I followed one 100 USDC deposit into your cashier, then read the 33,494 transfers behind it. Zero differences against a second chain source.
Sportsbet.io and Bitcasino.io. Ethereum USDT and USDC only, 1 May to 14 Nov 2026. Public chain data; no customer identified. Source: the public Ethereum chain; my analysis.
Debashish Bhattacharjee, November 2026
52 in 100 new depositors never return
The 1,705 who stopped put in $2.3M. Had each continued like a returning address of the same first-deposit size, $4.8M more.
The more deposits, the likelier the next
$41.8M of $50.1M. Chance of the next deposit: 48%, then 70%, 76%, 81%, 83%.
Put the offer budget on deposits two and three. Hold half back to measure the lift.
The second deposit comes fast, or rarely
23 in 100 return within a day, 37 within a week. Only 11 more ever follow.
Telegram bot and automated email at hour 1, hour 24 and day 3, the later ones sent at the hour that address first deposited.
$1,000-plus starters: 13% of addresses, 91% of value
158 of them never returned after $2.0M on day one.
A named VIP owner for every $1,000-plus first deposit on day one.
166 of 321 $10,000-plus depositors went quiet
They put in $18.2M since May. $1.4M reached the 321 straight from Stake, Roobet or Rainbet wallets. Of 368 likely player wallets behind them, 15 were paid out by a rival casino in the last 30 days.
Win the 166 back with email, Telegram bot and a VIP owner. Seed look-alike audiences on wallet-based ad platforms such as Addressable and Blockchain-Ads.