After the First Deposit
$59Mdeposited on Ethereum since 1 May

What happens after the first deposit?

I followed one 100 USDC deposit into your cashier, then read the 33,494 transfers behind it. Zero differences against a second chain source.

Sportsbet.io and Bitcasino.io. Ethereum USDT and USDC only, 1 May to 14 Nov 2026. Public chain data; no customer identified. Source: the public Ethereum chain; my analysis.

Debashish Bhattacharjee, November 2026

$4.8Mest. left behind in six months

52 in 100 new depositors never return

The 1,705 who stopped put in $2.3M. Had each continued like a returning address of the same first-deposit size, $4.8M more.

83%of the money comes after deposit one

The more deposits, the likelier the next

$41.8M of $50.1M. Chance of the next deposit: 48%, then 70%, 76%, 81%, 83%.

What I would do

Put the offer budget on deposits two and three. Hold half back to measure the lift.

27hmedian gap to deposit two

The second deposit comes fast, or rarely

23 in 100 return within a day, 37 within a week. Only 11 more ever follow.

What I would do

Telegram bot and automated email at hour 1, hour 24 and day 3, the later ones sent at the hour that address first deposited.

$35.1Mfrom 32 addresses

$1,000-plus starters: 13% of addresses, 91% of value

158 of them never returned after $2.0M on day one.

What I would do

A named VIP owner for every $1,000-plus first deposit on day one.

$3.1Ma month has gone quiet

166 of 321 $10,000-plus depositors went quiet

They put in $18.2M since May. $1.4M reached the 321 straight from Stake, Roobet or Rainbet wallets. Of 368 likely player wallets behind them, 15 were paid out by a rival casino in the last 30 days.

What I would do

Win the 166 back with email, Telegram bot and a VIP owner. Seed look-alike audiences on wallet-based ad platforms such as Addressable and Blockchain-Ads.

0welcome offers in five days

Five days, two deposits, no offer

What I would do

Open five test accounts a week and log every contact.

One test account, 10 to 15 Nov 2026.

Signed up. Six minutes in live chat for an answer.
First deposit, 100 USDC. A receipt.
VIP replied after 33 hours.
A security email. No Telegram message.
Second deposit, 20 USDT. A receipt.
5moves, all after deposit one

Every first deposit you buy needs a second

Every first-time depositor you buy in your target geographies is worth more if deposit two happens.

Debashish Bhattacharjee, November 2026

Source: the public Ethereum chain, USDT and USDC, 1 May to 14 Nov 2026; my analysis.

1An offer on deposits two and three, with a hold-out.$4.8M est. left behind
2Telegram bot and automated email at hour 1, hour 24 and day 3.
3A named VIP owner for every $1,000-plus first deposit.$2.0M left on day one
4Win back the 166 quiet big depositors.$3.1M a month
5Look-alike audiences from 368 player wallets.